Pre-mortem · attack your own plan

Red Team

Stress-test a decision before you commit. List the ways it could fail, rank them by likelihood × impact, name what an adversary would exploit, and set the tripwires to watch.

The decision

Add a way it could fail

Failure modes (5)

View ranked heat →
  • 16

    Funding tranche is pulled at the last minute

    L 4 × I 4 · Critical

    Tripwire: Donor has not confirmed the wire date in writing.

  • 12

    Message gets misquoted in the press

    L 4 × I 3 · Elevated

    Tripwire: No approved statement and Q&A doc circulated to spokespeople.

  • 10

    Partner backs out after the announcement

    L 2 × I 5 · Elevated

    Tripwire: No signed MOU on file 48 hours before the announcement.

  • 6

    Internal team not aligned on talking points

    L 3 × I 2 · Watch

    Tripwire: Briefing not completed and acknowledged by all named contacts.

  • 5

    Regulatory filing deadline collides with launch day

    L 1 × I 5 · Watch

    Tripwire: Compliance has not signed off on the filing calendar.

pre-mortem.record
$ red-team digest "Announce the Born Between 2 Generals-anniversary partnership publicly next week"
modes: 5
sha256: 4a9ff4ec1d541602c13bed93fc6f5c81…c99f47a0
status: record sealed — re-hash to detect later edits

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